Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Juan Alberto Garcia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.06) 0.54 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.7% 41.4% 24.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.5%
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Moron
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaco For Ever 0 29.5% 15.9% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 10.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChaco For EverDeportivo Moron
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack31%38%
Defense92%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chaco For Ever Deportivo Moron
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins63%29%45%65%25%45%
Draws13%29%21%24%50%36%
Loses25%41%33%12%25%18%

Form: Chaco For Ever: LWWLLWDWLWLLWWDWLWWDWLDWWLLDWDDWL • Deportivo Moron: DWLDLDDWLWWWWDDWWWDDDWLDWLWWDWLDW

League goals

Metric Chaco For Ever Deportivo Moron
HATHAT
GF total191433251035
GF avg1.20.81.01.50.61.1
GA total10152581018
GA avg0.60.90.80.50.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChaco For EverDeportivo Moron
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%52%67%48%
1.536%24%27%6%
2.53%0%9%0%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChaco For EverDeportivo Moron
HATHAT
Clean sheets881610717
Failed to score49133811

Penalties

MetricChaco For EverDeportivo Moron
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricChaco For EverDeportivo Moron
Wins24
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-22-1
Goals For2342
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricChaco For EverDeportivo Moron
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h25%75%
Goals29%71%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Moron and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Unibet
Draw2.75 @ Unibet
Away4.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.28 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.90 @ Unibet
No1.44 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chaco For Ever = 0.68 (league 1.06), Deportivo Moron = 0.54 (league 0.67)

Deportivo Moron
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaco For Ever 0 29.5% 15.9% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 10.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 41.4% · Away win 24.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod3