Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:30 • Victor Legrotaglie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.06) 0.60 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.9% 33.9% 21.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 0
19.7%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Defensores De Belgrano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia M. 0 19.7% 11.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 12.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.3% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimnasia M.Defensores De Belgrano
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack38%54%
Defense69%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimnasia M. Defensores De Belgrano
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins63%35%48%35%38%36%
Draws31%41%36%41%31%36%
Loses6%24%15%24%31%27%

Form: Gimnasia M.: DWWDWWDDWDWDLWDWDDDWWLWWWWLLDWLWD • Defensores De Belgrano: DDWWDDDLWWDWWLLLDLDWLDLLDLWDWWDWW

League goals

Metric Gimnasia M. Defensores De Belgrano
HATHAT
GF total191534141630
GF avg1.20.91.00.81.00.9
GA total71118111425
GA avg0.40.60.50.60.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimnasia M.Defensores De Belgrano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%48%61%58%
1.527%6%24%18%
2.50%0%6%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimnasia M.Defensores De Belgrano
HATHAT
Clean sheets98179514
Failed to score2687613

Penalties

MetricGimnasia M.Defensores De Belgrano
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricGimnasia M.Defensores De Belgrano
Wins42
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-12-00-22-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricGimnasia M.Defensores De Belgrano
Form38%62%
Att42%58%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gimnasia M. or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away6.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ Bet365
No1.44 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimnasia M. = 1.02 (league 1.06), Defensores De Belgrano = 0.60 (league 0.67)

Defensores De Belgrano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia M. 0 19.7% 11.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 12.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.3% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.9% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 21.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1