1. Deild — Iceland
Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 16:00 • Boginn
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.85) 1.62 (league 1.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 20.1% 27.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Fjolnir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thor Akureyri 0 2.1% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.7% 7.6% 6.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.3% 8.5% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.4% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
4 2.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThor AkureyriFjolnir
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack72%44%
Defense61%28%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Thor Akureyri Fjolnir
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%70%60%0%30%15%
Draws20%10%15%20%40%30%
Loses30%20%25%80%30%55%

Form: Thor Akureyri: DWLWWLDLWWLWWDWWWWWL • Fjolnir: LDDLLDLLWLWLLDDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Thor Akureyri Fjolnir
HATHAT
GF total19284782230
GF avg1.92.82.40.82.21.5
GA total131629272249
GA avg1.31.61.52.72.22.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThor AkureyriFjolnir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%80%95%
1.570%40%35%70%
2.530%25%25%50%
3.525%5%10%15%
4.510%0%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThor AkureyriFjolnir
HATHAT
Clean sheets325011
Failed to score000314

Penalties

MetricThor AkureyriFjolnir
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricThor AkureyriFjolnir
Wins51
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-5—1-4
Biggest losses2-43-10-53-0
Goals For4524
Goals Against4355

Model comparison

MetricThor AkureyriFjolnir
Form75%25%
Att62%38%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h62%38%
Goals75%25%
Total66.3%33.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Thor Akureyri or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ Unibet
Draw6.97 @ Pinnacle
Away10.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.29 @ Unibet
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Unibet
No2.41 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Thor Akureyri = 2.26 (league 1.85), Fjolnir = 1.62 (league 1.76)

Fjolnir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thor Akureyri 0 2.1% 3.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.7% 7.6% 6.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.3% 8.5% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.4% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
4 2.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1