Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 10:00 • Busan Gudeok Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.33) 2.61 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.6% 18.3% 51.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.6%
2 - 2
6.7%
1 - 3
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Suwon Bluewings
0 1 2 3 4 5
Busan I Park 0 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.3%
1 2.2% 5.8% 7.6% 6.6% 4.3% 2.2%
2 2.0% 5.1% 6.7% 5.8% 3.8% 2.0%
3 1.2% 3.0% 3.9% 3.4% 2.2% 1.2%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBusan I ParkSuwon Bluewings
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack24%53%
Defense71%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Busan I Park Suwon Bluewings
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins29%54%41%57%54%56%
Draws36%23%30%29%23%26%
Loses36%23%30%14%23%19%

Form: Busan I Park: DLWWDLDWWWWLDWLWDDLDLWLLWWD • Suwon Bluewings: WLLDWWDWWDWWDWWLWDWWWLWWLDD

League goals

Metric Busan I Park Suwon Bluewings
HATHAT
GF total181634272754
GF avg1.31.21.31.92.12.0
GA total21930142337
GA avg1.50.71.11.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBusan I ParkSuwon Bluewings
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%67%89%81%
1.541%33%59%37%
2.515%7%37%15%
3.57%4%15%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBusan I ParkSuwon Bluewings
HATHAT
Clean sheets369415
Failed to score6410213

Penalties

MetricBusan I ParkSuwon Bluewings
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricBusan I ParkSuwon Bluewings
Wins43
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-44-01-4
Biggest losses1-43-00-24-2
Goals For4444
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricBusan I ParkSuwon Bluewings
Form47%53%
Att31%69%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h62%38%
Goals45%55%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : Busan I Park or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Busan I Park = 1.76 (league 1.33), Suwon Bluewings = 2.61 (league 1.21)

Suwon Bluewings
0 1 2 3 4 5
Busan I Park 0 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.3%
1 2.2% 5.8% 7.6% 6.6% 4.3% 2.2%
2 2.0% 5.1% 6.7% 5.8% 3.8% 2.0%
3 1.2% 3.0% 3.9% 3.4% 2.2% 1.2%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 51.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1