Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 10:00 • Sungui Arena Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.31) 0.49 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.8% 34.6% 17.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.5%
0 - 0
22.1%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gimpo Citizen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Incheon United 0 22.1% 10.8% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.5% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIncheon UnitedGimpo Citizen
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack63%56%
Defense56%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Incheon United Gimpo Citizen
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins79%60%69%40%36%38%
Draws14%20%17%27%43%34%
Loses7%20%14%33%21%28%

Form: Incheon United: WWLWDWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWWWDWLWDLW • Gimpo Citizen: DWLDWLDLLLWLDLWWDDWDDWWDWDWLW

League goals

Metric Incheon United Gimpo Citizen
HATHAT
GF total272956221436
GF avg1.91.91.91.51.01.2
GA total81422161026
GA avg0.60.90.81.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIncheon UnitedGimpo Citizen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%48%76%52%
1.562%21%34%28%
2.528%7%14%10%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIncheon UnitedGimpo Citizen
HATHAT
Clean sheets87156814
Failed to score022257

Penalties

MetricIncheon UnitedGimpo Citizen
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total91

Streaks

MetricIncheon UnitedGimpo Citizen
Wins82
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-11-33-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricIncheon UnitedGimpo Citizen
Form41%59%
Att53%47%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Incheon United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ 188Bet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away4.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Incheon United = 1.02 (league 1.31), Gimpo Citizen = 0.49 (league 1.23)

Gimpo Citizen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Incheon United 0 22.1% 10.8% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.5% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 17.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1