Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 07:30 • Changwon Football Center
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.31) 1.02 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.1% 26.7% 26.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ansan Greeners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gyeongnam FC 0 8.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.6% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.0% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGyeongnam FCAnsan Greeners
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack31%13%
Defense56%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gyeongnam FC Ansan Greeners
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins27%27%27%13%14%13%
Draws20%13%17%25%36%30%
Loses53%60%57%63%50%57%

Form: Gyeongnam FC: LWDDWLLWLLLLWWLLLLDLLLWDDLLWLW • Ansan Greeners: LLLLDLWLLWDLDWWDLDDDDLLLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Gyeongnam FC Ansan Greeners
HATHAT
GF total161127111122
GF avg1.10.70.90.70.80.7
GA total232649232447
GA avg1.51.71.61.41.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGyeongnam FCAnsan Greeners
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%87%50%73%
1.523%50%20%50%
2.57%20%3%27%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGyeongnam FCAnsan Greeners
HATHAT
Clean sheets224448
Failed to score57129615

Penalties

MetricGyeongnam FCAnsan Greeners
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricGyeongnam FCAnsan Greeners
Wins22
Draws24
Losses48

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-21-00-2
Biggest losses0-34-01-34-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricGyeongnam FCAnsan Greeners
Form86%14%
Att71%29%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total66.2%33.8%

Advice: Double chance : Gyeongnam FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away3.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gyeongnam FC = 1.42 (league 1.31), Ansan Greeners = 1.02 (league 1.18)

Ansan Greeners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gyeongnam FC 0 8.7% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.6% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.0% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.1% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1