Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 07:30 • Hwaseong Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.31) 1.03 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 34.4% 48.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.5%
0 - 0
21.9%
0 - 2
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Busan I Park
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hwaseong 0 21.9% 22.5% 11.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.7% 11.0% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHwaseongBusan I Park
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack44%50%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hwaseong Busan I Park
HATHAT
Played141630161430
Wins29%25%27%31%57%43%
Draws36%31%33%38%21%30%
Loses36%44%40%31%21%27%

Form: Hwaseong: LDDWDLLLLWLLLLWDLWLWWDLDDDWDWD • Busan I Park: DLWWDLDWWWWLDWLWDDLDLWLLWWDWWD

League goals

Metric Hwaseong Busan I Park
HATHAT
GF total111930201939
GF avg0.81.21.01.31.41.3
GA total122537221133
GA avg0.91.61.21.40.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHwaseongBusan I Park
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%80%67%67%
1.527%30%40%33%
2.57%13%17%7%
3.50%0%7%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHwaseongBusan I Park
HATHAT
Clean sheets3364610
Failed to score55106410

Penalties

MetricHwaseongBusan I Park
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricHwaseongBusan I Park
Wins24
Draws32
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-34-21-4
Biggest losses1-23-11-43-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricHwaseongBusan I Park
Form45%55%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h33%67%
Goals30%70%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Busan I Park

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away1.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hwaseong = 0.49 (league 1.31), Busan I Park = 1.03 (league 1.23)

Busan I Park
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hwaseong 0 21.9% 22.5% 11.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.7% 11.0% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 34.4% · Away win 48.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1