Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 07:30 • Hwaseong Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.31) 1.32 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 28.8% 55.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.3%
0 - 0
15.4%
0 - 2
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Incheon United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hwaseong 0 15.4% 20.3% 13.4% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5%
1 8.5% 11.2% 7.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHwaseongIncheon United
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hwaseong Incheon United
HATHAT
Played151631151631
Wins27%25%26%73%56%65%
Draws40%31%35%13%25%19%
Loses33%44%39%13%19%16%

Form: Hwaseong: LDDWDLLLLWLLLLWDLWLWWDLDDDWDWDD • Incheon United: WWLWDWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWWWDWLWDLWLD

League goals

Metric Hwaseong Incheon United
HATHAT
GF total121931282957
GF avg0.81.21.01.91.81.8
GA total132538101424
GA avg0.91.61.20.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHwaseongIncheon United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%81%90%48%
1.526%29%58%23%
2.56%13%26%6%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHwaseongIncheon United
HATHAT
Clean sheets3368816
Failed to score5510033

Penalties

MetricHwaseongIncheon United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total28

Streaks

MetricHwaseongIncheon United
Wins28
Draws31
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-33-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-11-22-1
Goals For2344
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricHwaseongIncheon United
Form64%36%
Att54%46%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Incheon United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away1.65 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hwaseong = 0.55 (league 1.31), Incheon United = 1.32 (league 1.23)

Incheon United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hwaseong 0 15.4% 20.3% 13.4% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5%
1 8.5% 11.2% 7.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 55.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1