Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 07:30 • Tancheon Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.31) 1.18 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 30.6% 46.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Incheon United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Seongnam FC 0 14.8% 17.4% 10.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.9% 12.8% 7.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeongnam FCIncheon United
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack36%64%
Defense73%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Seongnam FC Incheon United
HATHAT
Played161733161733
Wins38%35%36%69%59%64%
Draws38%35%36%19%24%21%
Loses25%29%27%13%18%15%

Form: Seongnam FC: WDWDDWWDLLLDDLLWLLDDWDWDWWDWWWDLL • Incheon United: WWLWDWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWWWDWLWDLWLDWD

League goals

Metric Seongnam FC Incheon United
HATHAT
GF total191635293059
GF avg1.20.91.11.81.81.8
GA total131528111425
GA avg0.80.90.80.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeongnam FCIncheon United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%55%91%48%
1.530%27%55%21%
2.59%3%24%6%
3.53%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeongnam FCIncheon United
HATHAT
Clean sheets87158917
Failed to score6612033

Penalties

MetricSeongnam FCIncheon United
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total39

Streaks

MetricSeongnam FCIncheon United
Wins38
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-33-00-4
Biggest losses0-23-21-22-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSeongnam FCIncheon United
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Seongnam FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.84 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Seongnam FC = 0.73 (league 1.31), Incheon United = 1.18 (league 1.23)

Incheon United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Seongnam FC 0 14.8% 17.4% 10.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.9% 12.8% 7.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 46.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1