Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 07:30 • Busan Gudeok Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.33) 1.28 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.5% 29.4% 51.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 0
14.8%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Gimpo Citizen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Busan I Park 0 14.8% 18.9% 12.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.4% 12.0% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBusan I ParkGimpo Citizen
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack23%23%
Defense46%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Busan I Park Gimpo Citizen
HATHAT
Played181735181735
Wins28%47%37%33%41%37%
Draws39%29%34%33%35%34%
Loses33%24%29%33%24%29%

Form: Busan I Park: DLWWDLDWWWWLDWLWDDLDLWLLWWDWWDDDDLL • Gimpo Citizen: DWLDWLDLLLWLDLWWDDWDDWWDWDWLWWDDWLL

League goals

Metric Busan I Park Gimpo Citizen
HATHAT
GF total222042231841
GF avg1.21.21.21.31.11.2
GA total251540181230
GA avg1.40.91.11.00.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBusan I ParkGimpo Citizen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%69%71%54%
1.534%34%34%23%
2.514%9%11%9%
3.56%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBusan I ParkGimpo Citizen
HATHAT
Clean sheets47117916
Failed to score66124610

Penalties

MetricBusan I ParkGimpo Citizen
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricBusan I ParkGimpo Citizen
Wins42
Draws42
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-43-00-3
Biggest losses1-43-01-33-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricBusan I ParkGimpo Citizen
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h15%85%
Goals0%100%
Total33.8%66.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gimpo Citizen and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Busan I Park = 0.63 (league 1.33), Gimpo Citizen = 1.28 (league 1.21)

Gimpo Citizen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Busan I Park 0 14.8% 18.9% 12.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.4% 12.0% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 51.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1