Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 05:00 • Sungui Arena Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.33) 0.61 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.9% 29.3% 17.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Busan I Park
0 1 2 3 4 5
Incheon United 0 15.1% 9.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.7% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.5% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIncheon UnitedBusan I Park
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack53%40%
Defense80%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Incheon United Busan I Park
HATHAT
Played171936191736
Wins71%58%64%32%47%39%
Draws18%26%22%37%29%33%
Loses12%16%14%32%24%28%

Form: Incheon United: WWLWDWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWWWDWLWDLWLDWDDWW • Busan I Park: DLWWDLDWWWWLDWLWDDLDLWLLWWDWWDDDDLLW

League goals

Metric Incheon United Busan I Park
HATHAT
GF total323365262046
GF avg1.91.71.81.41.21.3
GA total111627261541
GA avg0.60.80.81.40.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIncheon UnitedBusan I Park
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%47%67%69%
1.556%22%36%33%
2.525%6%17%8%
3.58%0%8%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIncheon UnitedBusan I Park
HATHAT
Clean sheets910194711
Failed to score0336612

Penalties

MetricIncheon UnitedBusan I Park
Scored (total | %)10 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total106

Streaks

MetricIncheon UnitedBusan I Park
Wins84
Draws24
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-44-11-4
Biggest losses1-22-11-43-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricIncheon UnitedBusan I Park
Form69%31%
Att57%43%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total64.5%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : Incheon United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Incheon United = 1.29 (league 1.33), Busan I Park = 0.61 (league 1.19)

Busan I Park
0 1 2 3 4 5
Incheon United 0 15.1% 9.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.7% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.5% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.9% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 17.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1