Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 05:00 • Gwangyang Football Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.31) 2.16 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.3% 20.0% 59.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.1%
0 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Incheon United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jeonnam Dragons 0 3.9% 8.3% 9.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.5%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.9% 7.1% 3.8% 1.7%
2 2.3% 5.0% 5.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9%
3 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJeonnam DragonsIncheon United
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack67%58%
Defense42%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jeonnam Dragons Incheon United
HATHAT
Played191837181937
Wins47%39%43%67%58%62%
Draws16%44%30%22%26%24%
Loses37%17%27%11%16%14%

Form: Jeonnam Dragons: WDWDLWWDWDWWLWDLDDWWLDDLWWLLLDWWWLWDL • Incheon United: WWLWDWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWWWDWLWDLWLDWDDWWD

League goals

Metric Jeonnam Dragons Incheon United
HATHAT
GF total342660323365
GF avg1.81.41.61.81.71.8
GA total282149111627
GA avg1.51.21.30.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJeonnam DragonsIncheon United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%76%89%46%
1.554%46%54%22%
2.522%5%24%5%
3.55%5%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJeonnam DragonsIncheon United
HATHAT
Clean sheets369101020
Failed to score437134

Penalties

MetricJeonnam DragonsIncheon United
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total510

Streaks

MetricJeonnam DragonsIncheon United
Wins38
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-33-00-4
Biggest losses0-22-01-22-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricJeonnam DragonsIncheon United
Form44%56%
Att53%47%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total35.2%64.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Incheon United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away2.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jeonnam Dragons = 1.10 (league 1.31), Incheon United = 2.16 (league 1.18)

Incheon United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jeonnam Dragons 0 3.9% 8.3% 9.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.5%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.9% 7.1% 3.8% 1.7%
2 2.3% 5.0% 5.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9%
3 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.3% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 59.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1