Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.31) 1.27 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 24.0% 28.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aucas 0 5.2% 6.6% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 8.8% 11.2% 7.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.4% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAucasEmelec
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack58%67%
Defense8%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aucas Emelec
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins62%23%42%31%38%35%
Draws15%23%19%38%23%31%
Loses23%54%38%31%38%35%

Form: Aucas: WLDDWLDWLWWWDLWDLWLWLWLWLL • Emelec: LLDLWDDDWLWLLLWDDDWLWWWDWL

League goals

Metric Aucas Emelec
HATHAT
GF total221335101424
GF avg1.71.01.30.81.10.9
GA total152237121729
GA avg1.21.71.40.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAucasEmelec
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%69%65%73%
1.535%38%19%31%
2.54%19%4%4%
3.54%8%4%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAucasEmelec
HATHAT
Clean sheets538527
Failed to score022549

Penalties

MetricAucasEmelec
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricAucasEmelec
Wins33
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-12-02-4
Biggest losses1-46-20-42-0
Goals For4224
Goals Against4642

Model comparison

MetricAucasEmelec
Form38%63%
Att47%53%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total55.8%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Aucas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away5.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aucas = 1.68 (league 1.31), Emelec = 1.27 (league 1.04)

Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aucas 0 5.2% 6.6% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 8.8% 11.2% 7.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.4% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 28.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1