Liga Pro — Ecuador
Tue, Sep 2 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Jocay
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.35) 1.28 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.7% 28.6% 45.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Delfin SC 0 11.5% 14.7% 9.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.1% 13.0% 8.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.5% 5.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDelfin SCLibertad
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack36%64%
Defense21%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Delfin SC Libertad
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%15%23%62%23%42%
Draws46%31%38%0%62%31%
Loses23%54%38%38%15%27%

Form: Delfin SC: LWDLDLDLDLDWWWDWDWLDLLDDLL • Libertad: WDLWWDLDWWLLDLLDWDWWWDLWDW

League goals

Metric Delfin SC Libertad
HATHAT
GF total131225241640
GF avg1.00.91.01.81.21.5
GA total142640181634
GA avg1.12.01.51.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDelfin SCLibertad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%69%85%85%
1.531%46%42%31%
2.58%27%19%12%
3.50%8%8%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDelfin SCLibertad
HATHAT
Clean sheets628224
Failed to score6511224

Penalties

MetricDelfin SCLibertad
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricDelfin SCLibertad
Wins33
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-11-2
Biggest losses0-45-01-42-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against4543

Model comparison

MetricDelfin SCLibertad
Form20%80%
Att36%64%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Libertad

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Delfin SC = 0.89 (league 1.35), Libertad = 1.28 (league 1.03)

Libertad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Delfin SC 0 11.5% 14.7% 9.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.1% 13.0% 8.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.5% 5.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 45.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1