Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Banco del Austro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.35) 1.66 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 24.3% 48.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Cuenca 0 6.1% 10.1% 8.4% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo CuencaBarcelona SC
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack44%56%
Defense88%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Cuenca Barcelona SC
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins50%43%46%43%64%54%
Draws21%29%25%21%14%18%
Loses29%29%29%36%21%29%

Form: Deportivo Cuenca: WWLLDLLWLWWLWDWWWWLDDLDDWWDW • Barcelona SC: WWWLWWLWWWDWDLLLWDDDWLWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Cuenca Barcelona SC
HATHAT
GF total201434172744
GF avg1.41.01.21.21.91.6
GA total121426171532
GA avg0.91.00.91.21.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo CuencaBarcelona SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%57%82%57%
1.532%21%43%36%
2.511%11%18%18%
3.54%4%11%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo CuencaBarcelona SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets57126612
Failed to score347415

Penalties

MetricDeportivo CuencaBarcelona SC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricDeportivo CuencaBarcelona SC
Wins43
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-00-5
Biggest losses0-34-00-43-1
Goals For4335
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo CuencaBarcelona SC
Form55%45%
Att44%56%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Barcelona SC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Cuenca = 1.14 (league 1.35), Barcelona SC = 1.66 (league 1.03)

Barcelona SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Cuenca 0 6.1% 10.1% 8.4% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 48.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1