Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.35) 1.57 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.0% 19.5% 24.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
7.3%
3 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Universidad Catolica
0 1 2 3 4 5
LDU de Quito 0 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
1 4.6% 7.3% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.5% 8.6% 6.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.8% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.5% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack19%50%
Defense75%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LDU de Quito Universidad Catolica
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins50%43%46%50%29%39%
Draws50%14%32%43%29%36%
Loses0%43%21%7%43%25%

Form: LDU de Quito: DDWWLWLWDDWDLWWWDLWWDWWLDLDW • Universidad Catolica: WDDDWLWLWLDDLWLWDLDLWWWDDWWD

League goals

Metric LDU de Quito Universidad Catolica
HATHAT
GF total281543272552
GF avg2.01.11.51.91.81.9
GA total131326132336
GA avg0.90.90.90.91.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%71%93%75%
1.543%18%46%32%
2.521%4%29%18%
3.57%0%11%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
HATHAT
Clean sheets448527
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
Wins33
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-46-20-4
Biggest losses—3-10-34-2
Goals For4464
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricLDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
Form36%64%
Att27%73%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h80%20%
Goals63%38%
Total54.2%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : LDU de Quito or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Unibet
No2.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): LDU de Quito = 2.36 (league 1.35), Universidad Catolica = 1.57 (league 1.03)

Universidad Catolica
0 1 2 3 4 5
LDU de Quito 0 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
1 4.6% 7.3% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.5% 8.6% 6.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.8% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.5% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 24.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1