Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Cooperativa de Ahorro y Crédito Mushuc Runa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.35) 3.14 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.0% 10.8% 73.4%
best score tips
0 - 3
10.3%
0 - 2
9.8%
0 - 4
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mushuc Runa SC 0 2.0% 6.3% 9.8% 10.3% 8.1% 5.1%
1 1.6% 4.9% 7.6% 8.0% 6.3% 3.9%
2 0.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack43%71%
Defense50%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mushuc Runa SC Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%0%21%57%71%64%
Draws14%21%18%36%21%29%
Loses43%79%61%7%7%7%

Form: Mushuc Runa SC: WLWDLDDWLLWLLLLLLLDDLLLLWLWL • Independiente del Valle: LDDWDWWWWWLWWWDDDWDWWWWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Mushuc Runa SC Independiente del Valle
HATHAT
GF total211031262753
GF avg1.50.71.11.91.91.9
GA total242448111021
GA avg1.71.71.70.80.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%93%68%
1.521%50%57%7%
2.57%21%29%0%
3.54%7%11%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
HATHAT
Clean sheets404459
Failed to score246022

Penalties

MetricMushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricMushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
Wins15
Draws23
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-00-4
Biggest losses0-53-11-22-0
Goals For4144
Goals Against5322

Model comparison

MetricMushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
Form32%68%
Att38%63%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total30.8%69.3%

Advice: Winner : Independiente del Valle

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mushuc Runa SC = 0.78 (league 1.35), Independiente del Valle = 3.14 (league 1.03)

Independiente del Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mushuc Runa SC 0 2.0% 6.3% 9.8% 10.3% 8.1% 5.1%
1 1.6% 4.9% 7.6% 8.0% 6.3% 3.9%
2 0.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.0% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 73.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1