Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio 9 de Mayo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.31) 0.95 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.5% 25.2% 22.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orense SC 0 7.9% 7.5% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.6% 11.9% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.5% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrense SCEmelec
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack62%54%
Defense62%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orense SC Emelec
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins64%27%45%33%43%38%
Draws21%27%24%33%21%28%
Loses14%47%31%33%36%34%

Form: Orense SC: LWLWLWDWLLDWWWLWDWWLDWLDLWDWD • Emelec: LLDLWDDDWLWLLLWDDDWLWWWDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Orense SC Emelec
HATHAT
GF total221234141630
GF avg1.60.81.20.91.11.0
GA total122032161834
GA avg0.91.31.11.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrense SCEmelec
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%72%66%72%
1.531%24%24%31%
2.514%7%7%7%
3.53%7%7%7%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrense SCEmelec
HATHAT
Clean sheets358628
Failed to score28106410

Penalties

MetricOrense SCEmelec
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total66

Streaks

MetricOrense SCEmelec
Wins33
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-54-02-4
Biggest losses1-24-00-42-0
Goals For3544
Goals Against2442

Model comparison

MetricOrense SCEmelec
Form47%53%
Att53%47%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Orense SC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 10Bet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orense SC = 1.58 (league 1.31), Emelec = 0.95 (league 1.04)

Emelec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orense SC 0 7.9% 7.5% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.6% 11.9% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.5% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 22.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1