Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.35) 1.49 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.1% 20.8% 26.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cuniburo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad 0 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.7% 8.5% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.4% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.3% 3.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLibertadCuniburo
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack38%38%
Defense62%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Libertad Cuniburo
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins57%20%38%33%14%24%
Draws0%67%34%7%36%21%
Loses43%13%28%60%50%55%

Form: Libertad: WDLWWDLDWWLLDLLDWDWWWDLWDWDLD • Cuniburo: DLDWWWDWWLLLLDWLLLLDLLDLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Libertad Cuniburo
HATHAT
GF total241741191534
GF avg1.71.11.41.31.11.2
GA total191736182442
GA avg1.41.11.21.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLibertadCuniburo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%83%59%86%
1.538%28%31%45%
2.517%10%17%14%
3.57%3%7%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLibertadCuniburo
HATHAT
Clean sheets235224
Failed to score3366612

Penalties

MetricLibertadCuniburo
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricLibertadCuniburo
Wins33
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-25-01-3
Biggest losses1-42-01-33-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricLibertadCuniburo
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total60.8%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Libertad or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Betano
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Libertad = 2.13 (league 1.35), Cuniburo = 1.49 (league 1.03)

Cuniburo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad 0 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.7% 8.5% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.4% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.3% 3.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 26.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1