Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.31) 0.69 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.2% 12.9% 6.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.1%
3 - 0
11.1%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Delfin SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente del Valle 0 3.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.4% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente del ValleDelfin SC
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack92%15%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente del Valle Delfin SC
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins57%67%62%27%14%21%
Draws36%27%31%47%36%41%
Loses7%7%7%27%50%38%

Form: Independiente del Valle: LDDWDWWWWWLWWWDDDWDWWWWDWWWWD • Delfin SC: LWDLDLDLDLDWWWDWDWLDLLDDLLDDL

League goals

Metric Independiente del Valle Delfin SC
HATHAT
GF total262955131326
GF avg1.91.91.90.90.90.9
GA total111223152742
GA avg0.80.80.81.01.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente del ValleDelfin SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%69%55%69%
1.559%10%28%41%
2.528%0%7%24%
3.510%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente del ValleDelfin SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets459729
Failed to score0228513

Penalties

MetricIndependiente del ValleDelfin SC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricIndependiente del ValleDelfin SC
Wins53
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-11-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-45-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against2245

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente del ValleDelfin SC
Form87%13%
Att86%14%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total71.8%28.2%

Advice: Winner : Independiente del Valle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ Betano
Draw6.00 @ Bet365
Away10.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente del Valle = 2.75 (league 1.31), Delfin SC = 0.69 (league 1.04)

Delfin SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente del Valle 0 3.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.4% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.2% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 6.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1