Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.32) 0.87 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.1% 26.8% 22.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Cuenca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad Catolica 0 10.0% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.4% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.0% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack85%46%
Defense54%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universidad Catolica Deportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins50%33%41%47%43%45%
Draws43%27%34%20%29%24%
Loses7%40%24%33%29%31%

Form: Universidad Catolica: WDDDWLWLWLDDLWLWDLDLWWWDDWWDW • Deportivo Cuenca: WWLLDLLWLWWLWDWWWWLDDLDDWWDWL

League goals

Metric Universidad Catolica Deportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
GF total272956201434
GF avg1.91.91.91.31.01.2
GA total132538131427
GA avg0.91.71.30.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%76%72%59%
1.548%34%31%21%
2.531%17%10%10%
3.514%3%3%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
HATHAT
Clean sheets5275712
Failed to score112448

Penalties

MetricUniversidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricUniversidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
Wins34
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-44-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-20-34-0
Goals For6443
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricUniversidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
Form52%48%
Att65%35%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h71%29%
Goals53%47%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Universidad Catolica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Betano
Away5.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Unibet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universidad Catolica = 1.44 (league 1.32), Deportivo Cuenca = 0.87 (league 1.04)

Deportivo Cuenca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad Catolica 0 10.0% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 12.4% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.0% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 22.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1