Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio La Portada de La Serena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.38) 2.32 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 19.1% 58.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.2%
0 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Universidad de Chile
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. La Serena 0 2.9% 6.7% 7.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6%
1 3.5% 8.2% 9.5% 7.4% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.0% 5.8% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
3 0.9% 2.1% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricD. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack25%45%
Defense50%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric D. La Serena Universidad de Chile
HATHAT
Played101222111021
Wins40%8%23%82%30%57%
Draws20%17%18%0%20%10%
Loses40%75%59%18%50%33%

Form: D. La Serena: LLWDWLWLLLWWLLDLLLDDLL • Universidad de Chile: WWLDLWWWWLWLWWWDWLWLL

League goals

Metric D. La Serena Universidad de Chile
HATHAT
GF total131225311344
GF avg1.31.01.12.81.32.1
GA total17244191322
GA avg1.72.01.90.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineD. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%91%76%71%
1.523%59%52%29%
2.59%32%38%5%
3.50%5%24%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricD. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile
HATHAT
Clean sheets202426
Failed to score224145

Penalties

MetricD. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricD. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile
Wins24
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-36-00-4
Biggest losses2-43-11-32-0
Goals For3364
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricD. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile
Form25%75%
Att36%64%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total29.3%70.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Universidad de Chile

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.10 @ 188Bet
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away2.05 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Betano
Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): D. La Serena = 1.23 (league 1.38), Universidad de Chile = 2.32 (league 0.95)

Universidad de Chile
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. La Serena 0 2.9% 6.7% 7.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6%
1 3.5% 8.2% 9.5% 7.4% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.0% 5.8% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
3 0.9% 2.1% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 58.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1