Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.38) 1.08 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 22.9% 22.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Palestino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad de Chile 0 5.4% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.0% 10.8% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversidad de ChilePalestino
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack43%29%
Defense50%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universidad de Chile Palestino
HATHAT
Played111122111223
Wins82%27%55%55%42%48%
Draws0%27%14%18%33%26%
Loses18%45%32%27%25%26%

Form: Universidad de Chile: WWLDLWWWWLWLWWWDWLWLLD • Palestino: WWLWWDWLLWWDDWDWDWLDWLL

League goals

Metric Universidad de Chile Palestino
HATHAT
GF total311445141630
GF avg2.81.32.01.31.31.3
GA total91423101121
GA avg0.81.31.00.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversidad de ChilePalestino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%73%78%65%
1.550%27%43%22%
2.536%5%9%4%
3.523%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversidad de ChilePalestino
HATHAT
Clean sheets426538
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricUniversidad de ChilePalestino
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricUniversidad de ChilePalestino
Wins42
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-42-00-3
Biggest losses1-32-00-22-1
Goals For6423
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricUniversidad de ChilePalestino
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Universidad de Chile or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away5.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universidad de Chile = 1.83 (league 1.38), Palestino = 1.08 (league 0.96)

Palestino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad de Chile 0 5.4% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.0% 10.8% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 22.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1