Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida
Halftime
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.35) 0.57 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.4% 27.3% 14.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 0
13.8%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Union La Calera
0 1 2 3 4 5
A. Italiano 0 13.8% 7.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 11.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricA. ItalianoUnion La Calera
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack56%19%
Defense25%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric A. Italiano Union La Calera
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins64%42%52%42%18%30%
Draws27%8%17%25%18%22%
Loses9%50%30%33%64%48%

Form: A. Italiano: LWWWDLWWLWWWDWWDLDLWLLW • Union La Calera: WLDWLWLDWDLWLWDLLLLDLLW

League goals

Metric A. Italiano Union La Calera
HATHAT
GF total21183914519
GF avg1.91.51.71.20.50.8
GA total122133131124
GA avg1.11.81.41.11.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineA. ItalianoUnion La Calera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%61%74%
1.548%35%13%17%
2.526%22%4%9%
3.513%4%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricA. ItalianoUnion La Calera
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score134369

Penalties

MetricA. ItalianoUnion La Calera
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total90

Streaks

MetricA. ItalianoUnion La Calera
Wins31
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-34-00-1
Biggest losses0-14-00-43-1
Goals For4441
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricA. ItalianoUnion La Calera
Form60%40%
Att75%25%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : A. Italiano or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.55 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): A. Italiano = 1.41 (league 1.35), Union La Calera = 0.57 (league 0.97)

Union La Calera
0 1 2 3 4 5
A. Italiano 0 13.8% 7.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 11.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 14.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1