Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio La Portada
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.37) 2.50 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 18.9% 51.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 3
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
A. Italiano
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. La Serena 0 1.5% 3.7% 4.7% 3.9% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.6% 6.4% 8.0% 6.6% 4.1% 2.1%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.8% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8%
3 1.2% 3.1% 3.9% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricD. La SerenaA. Italiano
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack31%100%
Defense38%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric D. La Serena A. Italiano
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins33%8%21%67%42%54%
Draws33%17%25%25%8%17%
Loses33%75%54%8%50%29%

Form: D. La Serena: LLWDWLWLLLWWLLDLLLDDLLDD • A. Italiano: LWWWDLWWLWWWDWWDLDLWLLWW

League goals

Metric D. La Serena A. Italiano
HATHAT
GF total151227251843
GF avg1.31.01.12.11.51.8
GA total192443152136
GA avg1.62.01.81.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineD. La SerenaA. Italiano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%92%83%83%
1.521%54%50%38%
2.58%29%29%25%
3.50%4%17%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricD. La SerenaA. Italiano
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricD. La SerenaA. Italiano
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total39

Streaks

MetricD. La SerenaA. Italiano
Wins23
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-21-3
Biggest losses2-43-10-14-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricD. La SerenaA. Italiano
Form25%75%
Att24%76%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h20%80%
Goals31%69%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or A. Italiano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Bet365
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away2.85 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ SBO
Under 2.52.05 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.21 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): D. La Serena = 1.71 (league 1.37), A. Italiano = 2.50 (league 0.96)

A. Italiano
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. La Serena 0 1.5% 3.7% 4.7% 3.9% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.6% 6.4% 8.0% 6.6% 4.1% 2.1%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.8% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8%
3 1.2% 3.1% 3.9% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 51.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1