Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:30 • La Portada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.36) 2.00 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 21.1% 59.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
10.4%
0 - 2
10.4%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
U. Catolica
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. La Serena 0 5.2% 10.4% 10.4% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4%
1 5.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.4% 4.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricD. La SerenaU. Catolica
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack70%60%
Defense30%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric D. La Serena U. Catolica
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins38%15%27%77%31%54%
Draws31%15%23%0%46%23%
Loses31%69%50%23%23%23%

Form: D. La Serena: LLWDWLWLLLWWLLDLLLDDLLDDWW • U. Catolica: WLWDWDWWLLLDWDWDLDWWWWWWWL

League goals

Metric D. La Serena U. Catolica
HATHAT
GF total171431221739
GF avg1.31.11.21.71.31.5
GA total202545111324
GA avg1.51.91.70.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineD. La SerenaU. Catolica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%92%81%65%
1.527%50%38%19%
2.58%27%15%8%
3.50%4%8%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricD. La SerenaU. Catolica
HATHAT
Clean sheets202729
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricD. La SerenaU. Catolica
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total56

Streaks

MetricD. La SerenaU. Catolica
Wins27
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-36-01-4
Biggest losses2-43-10-32-0
Goals For3364
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricD. La SerenaU. Catolica
Form40%60%
Att54%46%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or U. Catolica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.85 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Betano
Away2.14 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ SBO
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): D. La Serena = 0.96 (league 1.36), U. Catolica = 2.00 (league 0.98)

U. Catolica
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. La Serena 0 5.2% 10.4% 10.4% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4%
1 5.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.4% 4.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 59.9%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1