Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio CAP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.29) 1.28 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 18.9% 19.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 1
7.9%
3 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
A. Italiano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Huachipato 0 2.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.4% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHuachipatoA. Italiano
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack38%75%
Defense44%19%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Huachipato A. Italiano
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins62%15%38%62%38%50%
Draws15%23%19%23%8%15%
Loses23%62%42%15%54%35%

Form: Huachipato: DWWLWWDLWLLLLLDWLDWWWLLLDW • A. Italiano: LWWWDLWWLWWWDWWDLDLWLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Huachipato A. Italiano
HATHAT
GF total221638261945
GF avg1.71.21.52.01.51.7
GA total102939172340
GA avg0.82.21.51.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHuachipatoA. Italiano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%73%85%85%
1.550%35%46%42%
2.519%23%27%23%
3.58%15%15%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHuachipatoA. Italiano
HATHAT
Clean sheets437224
Failed to score358134

Penalties

MetricHuachipatoA. Italiano
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%11 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total811

Streaks

MetricHuachipatoA. Italiano
Wins33
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-21-3
Biggest losses0-15-11-24-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against2534

Model comparison

MetricHuachipatoA. Italiano
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h40%60%
Goals53%47%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or A. Italiano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.04 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Huachipato = 2.38 (league 1.29), A. Italiano = 1.28 (league 0.94)

A. Italiano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Huachipato 0 2.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.4% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 19.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1