Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 23:00 • Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.82 (league 1.35) 1.08 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 14.8% 11.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Everton de Vina
0 1 2 3 4 5
A. Italiano 0 2.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.6% 8.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricA. ItalianoEverton de Vina
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack61%17%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric A. Italiano Everton de Vina
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins62%36%48%21%23%22%
Draws23%7%15%50%8%30%
Loses15%57%37%29%69%48%

Form: A. Italiano: LWWWDLWWLWWWDWWDLDLWLLWWLLL • Everton de Vina: DLLLDWLDLLWDDWLDWLDLWLLLDLW

League goals

Metric A. Italiano Everton de Vina
HATHAT
GF total262046161127
GF avg2.01.41.71.10.81.0
GA total172542152540
GA avg1.31.81.61.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineA. ItalianoEverton de Vina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%59%81%
1.544%44%26%41%
2.526%22%11%11%
3.515%4%4%7%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricA. ItalianoEverton de Vina
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score1345611

Penalties

MetricA. ItalianoEverton de Vina
Scored (total | %)11 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total115

Streaks

MetricA. ItalianoEverton de Vina
Wins31
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-34-10-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-36-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against3436

Model comparison

MetricA. ItalianoEverton de Vina
Form60%40%
Att79%21%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Winner : A. Italiano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.77 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): A. Italiano = 2.82 (league 1.35), Everton de Vina = 1.08 (league 0.97)

Everton de Vina
0 1 2 3 4 5
A. Italiano 0 2.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.6% 8.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% Ā· Draw 14.8% Ā· Away win 11.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1