Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 21:00 • La Portada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.30) 2.07 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.7% 20.6% 59.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Palestino
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. La Serena 0 4.5% 9.4% 9.8% 6.7% 3.5% 1.5%
1 4.6% 9.6% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.4% 4.9% 5.1% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8%
3 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricD. La SerenaPalestino
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack46%54%
Defense54%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric D. La Serena Palestino
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%14%25%57%36%46%
Draws29%14%21%14%29%21%
Loses36%71%54%29%36%32%

Form: D. La Serena: LLWDWLWLLLWWLLDLLLDDLLDDWWLL • Palestino: WWLWWDWLLWWDDWDWDWLDWLLLWWLL

League goals

Metric D. La Serena Palestino
HATHAT
GF total171532191837
GF avg1.21.11.11.41.31.3
GA total212748141529
GA avg1.51.91.71.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineD. La SerenaPalestino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%93%82%71%
1.525%50%43%29%
2.57%25%7%4%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricD. La SerenaPalestino
HATHAT
Clean sheets202538
Failed to score325235

Penalties

MetricD. La SerenaPalestino
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricD. La SerenaPalestino
Wins22
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses2-43-10-22-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricD. La SerenaPalestino
Form54%46%
Att46%54%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Palestino

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.26 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): D. La Serena = 1.02 (league 1.30), Palestino = 2.07 (league 0.94)

Palestino
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. La Serena 0 4.5% 9.4% 9.8% 6.7% 3.5% 1.5%
1 4.6% 9.6% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.4% 4.9% 5.1% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8%
3 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 59.7%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1