Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 00:00 • Lynn Family Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.21) 1.35 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.7% 27.1% 42.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Portland Thorns W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Louisville W 0 8.8% 11.9% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.5% 12.8% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.1% 6.9% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRacing Louisville WPortland Thorns W
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack50%70%
Defense40%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Racing Louisville W Portland Thorns W
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins33%44%39%50%25%39%
Draws22%33%28%30%25%28%
Loses44%22%33%20%50%33%

Form: Racing Louisville W: DLWLLDWWLWWLWLDDWD • Portland Thorns W: LDDWLWDWDWLWWLWDLL

League goals

Metric Racing Louisville W Portland Thorns W
HATHAT
GF total9152417926
GF avg1.01.71.31.71.11.4
GA total131528111021
GA avg1.41.71.61.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRacing Louisville WPortland Thorns W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%78%72%
1.539%50%28%33%
2.517%17%22%11%
3.50%11%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRacing Louisville WPortland Thorns W
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score314224

Penalties

MetricRacing Louisville WPortland Thorns W
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricRacing Louisville WPortland Thorns W
Wins22
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-11-4
Biggest losses1-44-20-23-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricRacing Louisville WPortland Thorns W
Form60%40%
Att42%58%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Racing Louisville W or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Racing Louisville W = 1.08 (league 1.21), Portland Thorns W = 1.35 (league 1.14)

Portland Thorns W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Louisville W 0 8.8% 11.9% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.5% 12.8% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.1% 6.9% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 42.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1