Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 02:00 • Providence Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.21) 1.67 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 24.3% 49.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
San Diego Wave W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portland Thorns W 0 6.1% 10.2% 8.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack38%15%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portland Thorns W San Diego Wave W
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins50%30%40%27%56%40%
Draws30%30%30%27%33%30%
Loses20%40%30%45%11%30%

Form: Portland Thorns W: LDDWLWDWDWLWWLWDLLWD • San Diego Wave W: DWLLWWWDWWLWDDDWLDLL

League goals

Metric Portland Thorns W San Diego Wave W
HATHAT
GF total171229131528
GF avg1.71.21.51.21.71.4
GA total11122317724
GA avg1.11.21.21.50.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%75%65%75%
1.530%30%35%40%
2.520%10%25%5%
3.515%0%10%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
HATHAT
Clean sheets415145
Failed to score224527

Penalties

MetricPortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total60

Streaks

MetricPortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
Wins23
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-45-21-4
Biggest losses0-23-10-32-1
Goals For4454
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricPortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
Form56%44%
Att71%29%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or San Diego Wave W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Portland Thorns W = 1.12 (league 1.21), San Diego Wave W = 1.67 (league 1.12)

San Diego Wave W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portland Thorns W 0 6.1% 10.2% 8.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 49.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1