Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 00:00 • Lumen Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.21) 0.91 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.2% 26.2% 23.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
North Carolina Courage W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Seattle Reign FC 0 9.0% 8.3% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 13.5% 12.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.2% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeattle Reign FCNorth Carolina Courage W
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack13%47%
Defense67%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Seattle Reign FC North Carolina Courage W
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins40%36%38%40%27%33%
Draws30%27%29%40%27%33%
Loses30%36%33%20%45%33%

Form: Seattle Reign FC: DWLLWDWLWLWDWWLDDDLWL • North Carolina Courage W: DLDLLWWDWLLWWDLDDLDWW

League goals

Metric Seattle Reign FC North Carolina Courage W
HATHAT
GF total101626131427
GF avg1.01.51.21.31.31.3
GA total81725102030
GA avg0.81.51.21.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeattle Reign FCNorth Carolina Courage W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%71%81%76%
1.533%33%38%38%
2.510%10%10%19%
3.55%5%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeattle Reign FCNorth Carolina Courage W
HATHAT
Clean sheets516235
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricSeattle Reign FCNorth Carolina Courage W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 33.33%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 66.67%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSeattle Reign FCNorth Carolina Courage W
Wins22
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-21-25-2
Goals For3433
Goals Against3425

Model comparison

MetricSeattle Reign FCNorth Carolina Courage W
Form38%62%
Att22%78%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or North Carolina Courage W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.23 @ Pinnacle
Away2.57 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Seattle Reign FC = 1.49 (league 1.21), North Carolina Courage W = 0.91 (league 1.14)

North Carolina Courage W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Seattle Reign FC 0 9.0% 8.3% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
1 13.5% 12.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.2% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.2% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 23.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1