NWSL Women — USA
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 02:00 • Providence Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.25 (league 1.21) 0.97 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.6% 18.8% 14.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portland Thorns W 0 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.0% 8.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortland Thorns WBay FC
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack33%20%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portland Thorns W Bay FC
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins45%27%36%25%10%18%
Draws36%27%32%25%40%32%
Loses18%45%32%50%50%50%

Form: Portland Thorns W: LDDWLWDWDWLWWLWDLLWDDL • Bay FC: DWLLWDLLWDWLLDDLLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Portland Thorns W Bay FC
HATHAT
GF total181230131023
GF avg1.61.11.41.11.01.0
GA total121527161733
GA avg1.11.41.21.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortland Thorns WBay FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%82%82%
1.527%32%23%55%
2.518%14%0%9%
3.514%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortland Thorns WBay FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets415314
Failed to score235314

Penalties

MetricPortland Thorns WBay FC
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricPortland Thorns WBay FC
Wins21
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-42-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-00-24-1
Goals For4422
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricPortland Thorns WBay FC
Form71%29%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h33%67%
Goals40%60%
Total54.7%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Portland Thorns W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ William Hill
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portland Thorns W = 2.25 (league 1.21), Bay FC = 0.97 (league 1.14)

Bay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portland Thorns W 0 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.0% 8.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.6% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 14.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1