Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 02:30 • Lumen Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.21) 0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.1% 25.5% 16.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Seattle Reign FC 0 10.5% 7.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.3% 11.5% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSeattle Reign FCBay FC
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack27%27%
Defense55%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Seattle Reign FC Bay FC
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins45%33%39%25%9%17%
Draws27%33%30%25%36%30%
Loses27%33%30%50%55%52%

Form: Seattle Reign FC: DWLLWDWLWLWDWWLDDDLWLWD • Bay FC: DWLLWDLLWDWLLDDLLLLDDLL

League goals

Metric Seattle Reign FC Bay FC
HATHAT
GF total121628131124
GF avg1.11.31.21.11.01.0
GA total91726161935
GA avg0.81.41.11.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSeattle Reign FCBay FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%70%83%83%
1.535%30%22%57%
2.59%9%0%9%
3.54%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSeattle Reign FCBay FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets527314
Failed to score336314

Penalties

MetricSeattle Reign FCBay FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSeattle Reign FCBay FC
Wins21
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-00-1
Biggest losses1-24-20-24-1
Goals For3422
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricSeattle Reign FCBay FC
Form78%22%
Att50%50%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h13%88%
Goals38%63%
Total51.7%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Seattle Reign FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ 188Bet
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ SBO
Under 2.51.82 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Seattle Reign FC = 1.55 (league 1.21), Bay FC = 0.70 (league 1.14)

Bay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Seattle Reign FC 0 10.5% 7.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.3% 11.5% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 16.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1