NWSL Women — USA
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 02:00 • PayPal Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.21) 1.54 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 23.5% 35.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
North Carolina Courage W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bay FC 0 4.2% 6.5% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.8% 10.5% 8.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.7% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBay FCNorth Carolina Courage W
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack31%46%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bay FC North Carolina Courage W
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins25%8%17%33%25%29%
Draws25%42%33%42%25%33%
Loses50%50%50%25%50%38%

Form: Bay FC: DWLLWDLLWDWLLDDLLLLDDLLD • North Carolina Courage W: DLDLLWWDWLLWWDLDDLDWWLLD

League goals

Metric Bay FC North Carolina Courage W
HATHAT
GF total131225151530
GF avg1.11.01.01.31.31.3
GA total162036142236
GA avg1.31.71.51.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBay FCNorth Carolina Courage W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%83%79%
1.521%54%33%42%
2.50%8%8%21%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBay FCNorth Carolina Courage W
HATHAT
Clean sheets314235
Failed to score314224

Penalties

MetricBay FCNorth Carolina Courage W
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBay FCNorth Carolina Courage W
Wins12
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-11-35-2
Goals For2233
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricBay FCNorth Carolina Courage W
Form30%70%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h88%13%
Goals75%25%
Total56.0%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : Bay FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away2.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bay FC = 1.63 (league 1.21), North Carolina Courage W = 1.54 (league 1.10)

North Carolina Courage W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bay FC 0 4.2% 6.5% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.8% 10.5% 8.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.7% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 35.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1