NWSL Women — USA
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 19:00 • Red Bull Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.22) 1.23 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.7% 25.2% 30.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Racing Louisville W
0 1 2 3 4 5
NJ/NY Gotham FC W 0 6.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.9% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.1% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNJ/NY Gotham FC WRacing Louisville W
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack30%35%
Defense85%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NJ/NY Gotham FC W Racing Louisville W
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins33%42%38%33%42%38%
Draws33%33%33%25%25%25%
Loses33%25%29%42%33%38%

Form: NJ/NY Gotham FC W: DLDWWLWDLLLWWDDLDWWWDWDL • Racing Louisville W: DLWLLDWWLWWLWLDDWDLLLWWD

League goals

Metric NJ/NY Gotham FC W Racing Louisville W
HATHAT
GF total131831122032
GF avg1.11.51.31.01.71.3
GA total101020162036
GA avg0.80.80.81.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNJ/NY Gotham FC WRacing Louisville W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%54%79%79%
1.538%21%38%46%
2.525%4%17%17%
3.54%4%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNJ/NY Gotham FC WRacing Louisville W
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611325
Failed to score639325

Penalties

MetricNJ/NY Gotham FC WRacing Louisville W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricNJ/NY Gotham FC WRacing Louisville W
Wins32
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-42-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-11-44-2
Goals For3433
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricNJ/NY Gotham FC WRacing Louisville W
Form53%47%
Att46%54%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : NJ/NY Gotham FC W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ 188Bet
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away5.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NJ/NY Gotham FC W = 1.53 (league 1.22), Racing Louisville W = 1.23 (league 1.10)

Racing Louisville W
0 1 2 3 4 5
NJ/NY Gotham FC W 0 6.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.9% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.1% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 30.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1