Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 21:00 • BMO Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.21) 1.23 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 25.3% 30.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Portland Thorns W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Angel City W 0 6.5% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.0% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.0% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAngel City WPortland Thorns W
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack25%20%
Defense70%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Angel City W Portland Thorns W
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins42%17%29%50%25%38%
Draws25%25%25%33%25%29%
Loses33%58%46%17%50%33%

Form: Angel City W: DDWWLLWWLLDLLLDDWWLLDLLW • Portland Thorns W: LDDWLWDWDWLWWLWDLLWDDLWL

League goals

Metric Angel City W Portland Thorns W
HATHAT
GF total171330201232
GF avg1.41.11.31.71.01.3
GA total172037131629
GA avg1.41.71.51.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAngel City WPortland Thorns W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%83%75%79%
1.542%46%29%29%
2.58%21%17%13%
3.54%4%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAngel City WPortland Thorns W
HATHAT
Clean sheets314415
Failed to score257246

Penalties

MetricAngel City WPortland Thorns W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricAngel City WPortland Thorns W
Wins22
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-11-4
Biggest losses0-43-10-23-0
Goals For2444
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricAngel City WPortland Thorns W
Form44%56%
Att56%44%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Angel City W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ 188Bet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Angel City W = 1.51 (league 1.21), Portland Thorns W = 1.23 (league 1.14)

Portland Thorns W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Angel City W 0 6.5% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.0% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.0% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 30.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1