Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:45 • Tolka Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.37) 1.15 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 23.9% 25.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Waterford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 5.7% 6.6% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.3% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShelbourneWaterford
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack54%23%
Defense62%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shelbourne Waterford
HATHAT
Played151530151631
Wins40%27%33%33%31%32%
Draws33%53%43%13%13%13%
Loses27%20%23%53%56%55%

Form: Shelbourne: WWDDLDWDWDDDLLWLDWDLWLDDWWDWDL • Waterford: WLWWLLLLLLLWWWWLDDLWDLLWWLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Shelbourne Waterford
HATHAT
GF total201737171835
GF avg1.31.11.21.11.11.1
GA total161632262854
GA avg1.11.11.11.71.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShelbourneWaterford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%65%87%
1.537%30%39%58%
2.510%0%6%13%
3.50%0%3%6%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShelbourneWaterford
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score4374711

Penalties

MetricShelbourneWaterford
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricShelbourneWaterford
Wins24
Draws32
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-02-4
Biggest losses1-22-00-47-2
Goals For3224
Goals Against2247

Model comparison

MetricShelbourneWaterford
Form89%11%
Att70%30%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total69.8%30.2%

Advice: Double chance : Shelbourne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.49 @ 188Bet
Draw4.65 @ Pinnacle
Away7.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shelbourne = 1.71 (league 1.37), Waterford = 1.15 (league 1.05)

Waterford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 5.7% 6.6% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.3% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 25.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1