Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:45 • Tolka Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.36) 1.37 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.6% 22.7% 28.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sligo Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 4.0% 5.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.1% 6.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.2% 5.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShelbourneSligo Rovers
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack88%38%
Defense38%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shelbourne Sligo Rovers
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins44%35%39%29%31%30%
Draws31%47%39%29%13%21%
Loses25%18%21%41%56%48%

Form: Shelbourne: WWDDLDWDWDDDLLWLDWDLWLDDWWDWDLWWW • Sligo Rovers: LLLWDLLLLWLDDLLWLLWLWDDWWLLWDDWWL

League goals

Metric Shelbourne Sligo Rovers
HATHAT
GF total222042182038
GF avg1.41.21.31.11.31.2
GA total171734202949
GA avg1.11.01.01.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShelbourneSligo Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%76%67%79%
1.539%27%36%42%
2.59%0%9%21%
3.50%0%3%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShelbourneSligo Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets358437
Failed to score4375611

Penalties

MetricShelbourneSligo Rovers
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricShelbourneSligo Rovers
Wins22
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-00-4
Biggest losses1-22-00-23-0
Goals For3224
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricShelbourneSligo Rovers
Form56%44%
Att70%30%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Shelbourne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ 188Bet
Away6.40 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shelbourne = 1.85 (league 1.36), Sligo Rovers = 1.37 (league 1.04)

Sligo Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 4.0% 5.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.1% 6.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.2% 5.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 28.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1