Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:45 • Regional Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.36) 1.69 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 24.1% 49.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Derry City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waterford 0 5.9% 9.9% 8.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.7% 11.4% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.5% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWaterfordDerry City
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack63%100%
Defense0%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Waterford Derry City
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins38%29%33%47%44%45%
Draws13%12%12%35%19%27%
Loses50%59%55%18%38%27%

Form: Waterford: WLWWLLLLLLLWWWWLDDLWDLLWWLDLLLLLW • Derry City: LWLLDWDWLWWLWWWDLLDWWWWLDLDWDWDDW

League goals

Metric Waterford Derry City
HATHAT
GF total191938291847
GF avg1.21.11.21.71.11.4
GA total263056162137
GA avg1.61.81.70.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWaterfordDerry City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%85%82%67%
1.539%58%30%36%
2.56%12%15%9%
3.53%6%6%0%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWaterfordDerry City
HATHAT
Clean sheets3257411
Failed to score4711156

Penalties

MetricWaterfordDerry City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricWaterfordDerry City
Wins44
Draws22
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-47-23-4
Biggest losses0-47-21-33-1
Goals For2474
Goals Against4733

Model comparison

MetricWaterfordDerry City
Form25%75%
Att36%64%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h40%60%
Goals32%68%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Derry City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Waterford = 1.14 (league 1.36), Derry City = 1.69 (league 1.04)

Derry City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waterford 0 5.9% 9.9% 8.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.7% 11.4% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.5% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 49.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1