Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 16:30 • Tolka Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.34) 0.82 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 29.5% 24.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
St Patrick's Athl.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 12.8% 10.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.8% 13.0% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.7% 8.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
Played55
Form100%53%
Attack85%46%
Defense62%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shelbourne St Patrick's Athl.
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins47%39%43%44%29%37%
Draws29%44%37%44%24%34%
Loses24%17%20%11%47%29%

Form: Shelbourne: WWDDLDWDWDDDLLWLDWDLWLDDWWDWDLWWWWW • St Patrick's Athl.: DLWWLWWDWDDLWLLWLDWDLLLDDWWWDDWLWDD

League goals

Metric Shelbourne St Patrick's Athl.
HATHAT
GF total252348281442
GF avg1.51.31.41.60.81.2
GA total181937131932
GA avg1.11.11.10.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%77%63%51%
1.543%29%37%29%
2.514%0%14%9%
3.50%0%6%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
HATHAT
Clean sheets35810717
Failed to score4376713

Penalties

MetricShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
Wins23
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-14-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
Form65%35%
Att65%35%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Shelbourne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shelbourne = 1.23 (league 1.34), St Patrick's Athl. = 0.82 (league 1.07)

St Patrick's Athl.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 12.8% 10.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.8% 13.0% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.7% 8.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 24.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1