Super League — China
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 11:35 • Jinan Olympic Sports Center
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.83) 1.87 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.7% 21.7% 39.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Beijing Guoan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shandong Luneng 0 2.5% 4.7% 4.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.6% 8.5% 8.0% 5.0% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.5% 4.6% 4.3% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShandong LunengBeijing Guoan
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack86%93%
Defense57%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shandong Luneng Beijing Guoan
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins64%36%50%73%55%64%
Draws18%18%18%18%36%27%
Loses18%45%32%9%9%9%

Form: Shandong Luneng: DWWLWWWLLDLWDLWDLWLWWW • Beijing Guoan: WDDDWDWWWWWDWWWWLLDWWW

League goals

Metric Shandong Luneng Beijing Guoan
HATHAT
GF total242145252651
GF avg2.21.92.02.32.42.3
GA total122335101626
GA avg1.12.11.60.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShandong LunengBeijing Guoan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%86%95%68%
1.559%41%73%32%
2.541%18%32%14%
3.523%5%23%5%
4.55%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShandong LunengBeijing Guoan
HATHAT
Clean sheets303437
Failed to score325011

Penalties

MetricShandong LunengBeijing Guoan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricShandong LunengBeijing Guoan
Wins35
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-56-10-4
Biggest losses0-36-11-32-0
Goals For4564
Goals Against3634

Model comparison

MetricShandong LunengBeijing Guoan
Form55%45%
Att48%52%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Beijing Guoan and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.40 @ Pinnacle
Away2.63 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.37 @ 188Bet
No3.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shandong Luneng = 1.80 (league 1.83), Beijing Guoan = 1.87 (league 1.41)

Beijing Guoan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shandong Luneng 0 2.5% 4.7% 4.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.6% 8.5% 8.0% 5.0% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.5% 4.6% 4.3% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.7% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 39.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1