Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 11:35 • Workers' Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.83) 0.64 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.8% 15.6% 8.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 0
11.5%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Dalian Zhixing
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beijing Guoan 0 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.5% 7.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 7.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBeijing GuoanDalian Zhixing
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack60%20%
Defense20%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Beijing Guoan Dalian Zhixing
HATHAT
Played121325121224
Wins67%46%56%67%8%38%
Draws17%31%24%8%42%25%
Loses17%23%20%25%50%38%

Form: Beijing Guoan: WDDDWDWWWWWDWWWWLLDWWWLLL • Dalian Zhixing: DLWDLDWLDWLDLWLWWWWLLLWD

League goals

Metric Beijing Guoan Dalian Zhixing
HATHAT
GF total27265315924
GF avg2.32.02.11.30.81.0
GA total132437112334
GA avg1.11.81.50.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBeijing GuoanDalian Zhixing
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%72%67%71%
1.568%40%29%46%
2.528%20%4%17%
3.520%8%0%8%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBeijing GuoanDalian Zhixing
HATHAT
Clean sheets437617
Failed to score033358

Penalties

MetricBeijing GuoanDalian Zhixing
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricBeijing GuoanDalian Zhixing
Wins54
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-42-00-2
Biggest losses1-36-00-34-0
Goals For6432
Goals Against3634

Model comparison

MetricBeijing GuoanDalian Zhixing
Form60%40%
Att75%25%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total69.2%30.8%

Advice: Winner : Beijing Guoan

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.46 @ 188Bet
Draw5.04 @ Pinnacle
Away6.45 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Beijing Guoan = 2.39 (league 1.83), Dalian Zhixing = 0.64 (league 1.37)

Dalian Zhixing
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beijing Guoan 0 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.5% 7.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 7.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.8% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 8.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1