Super League — China
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:35 • Jinan Olympic Sports Center
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.19 (league 1.80) 0.92 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.8% 11.4% 7.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.9%
2 - 0
8.3%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Yunnan Yukun
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shandong Luneng 0 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.9% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.1% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShandong LunengYunnan Yukun
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack89%37%
Defense58%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shandong Luneng Yunnan Yukun
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins67%31%48%46%17%32%
Draws17%31%24%31%25%28%
Loses17%38%28%23%58%40%

Form: Shandong Luneng: DWWLWWWLLDLWDLWDLWLWWWWDD • Yunnan Yukun: LDWLWLDDLLWWWDWLLWDLWLDLD

League goals

Metric Shandong Luneng Yunnan Yukun
HATHAT
GF total302656231538
GF avg2.52.02.21.81.31.5
GA total122840222749
GA avg1.02.21.61.72.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShandong LunengYunnan Yukun
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%84%88%80%
1.564%44%40%52%
2.544%20%16%40%
3.524%4%8%16%
4.58%4%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShandong LunengYunnan Yukun
HATHAT
Clean sheets404235
Failed to score325123

Penalties

MetricShandong LunengYunnan Yukun
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricShandong LunengYunnan Yukun
Wins43
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-53-13-4
Biggest losses0-36-11-55-1
Goals For6544
Goals Against3655

Model comparison

MetricShandong LunengYunnan Yukun
Form69%31%
Att71%29%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total63.4%36.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Shandong Luneng and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ 188Bet
Draw5.85 @ Pinnacle
Away7.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Unibet
No2.64 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shandong Luneng = 3.19 (league 1.80), Yunnan Yukun = 0.92 (league 1.41)

Yunnan Yukun
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shandong Luneng 0 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.9% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.1% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.8% · Draw 11.4% · Away win 7.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1