Super League — China
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 08:00 • Baoan Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.82) 2.58 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.2% 18.5% 50.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.6%
2 - 2
6.7%
1 - 3
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Beijing Guoan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sichuan Jiuniu 0 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.3% 5.9% 7.6% 6.5% 4.2% 2.2%
2 2.0% 5.2% 6.7% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.2% 3.1% 4.0% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1%
4 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSichuan JiuniuBeijing Guoan
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack22%56%
Defense67%28%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sichuan Jiuniu Beijing Guoan
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins38%8%23%69%46%58%
Draws8%8%8%15%31%23%
Loses54%85%69%15%23%19%

Form: Sichuan Jiuniu: LWLLLLWLDWDLWLLLWLLLLLWLLL • Beijing Guoan: WDDDWDWWWWWDWWWWLLDWWWLLLW

League goals

Metric Sichuan Jiuniu Beijing Guoan
HATHAT
GF total24630312657
GF avg1.80.51.22.42.02.2
GA total233255152439
GA avg1.82.52.11.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSichuan JiuniuBeijing Guoan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%81%88%73%
1.523%62%69%42%
2.515%46%31%19%
3.54%19%23%8%
4.50%4%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSichuan JiuniuBeijing Guoan
HATHAT
Clean sheets325437
Failed to score077033

Penalties

MetricSichuan JiuniuBeijing Guoan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricSichuan JiuniuBeijing Guoan
Wins15
Draws13
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-16-10-4
Biggest losses2-45-01-36-0
Goals For4164
Goals Against4536

Model comparison

MetricSichuan JiuniuBeijing Guoan
Form33%67%
Att29%71%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h64%36%
Goals50%50%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Sichuan Jiuniu or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.32 @ 1xBet
Draw4.45 @ Pinnacle
Away1.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.73 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sichuan Jiuniu = 1.78 (league 1.82), Beijing Guoan = 2.58 (league 1.39)

Beijing Guoan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sichuan Jiuniu 0 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.3% 5.9% 7.6% 6.5% 4.2% 2.2%
2 2.0% 5.2% 6.7% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.2% 3.1% 4.0% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1%
4 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.2% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 50.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1