Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 16:00 • Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.29) 0.97 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.9% 35.2% 44.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.0%
0 - 1
21.4%
1 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Saburtalo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dinamo Tbilisi 0 22.0% 21.4% 10.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.9% 11.6% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDinamo TbilisiSaburtalo
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack31%54%
Defense77%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dinamo Tbilisi Saburtalo
HATHAT
Played111324131124
Wins55%31%42%62%64%63%
Draws27%38%33%23%36%29%
Loses18%31%25%15%0%8%

Form: Dinamo Tbilisi: WDDWLWLLWDDWWWDLWLWDWDDL • Saburtalo: WWWDDWWWWDWWWWDWDWLDWDWL

League goals

Metric Dinamo Tbilisi Saburtalo
HATHAT
GF total151631201838
GF avg1.41.21.31.51.61.6
GA total811199615
GA avg0.70.80.80.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDinamo TbilisiSaburtalo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%79%42%
1.538%13%46%17%
2.517%0%17%4%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDinamo TbilisiSaburtalo
HATHAT
Clean sheets4487714
Failed to score268325

Penalties

MetricDinamo TbilisiSaburtalo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricDinamo TbilisiSaburtalo
Wins34
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-44-00-6
Biggest losses1-22-00-2
Goals For3446
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricDinamo TbilisiSaburtalo
Form43%57%
Att36%64%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Saburtalo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.70 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dinamo Tbilisi = 0.54 (league 1.29), Saburtalo = 0.97 (league 1.15)

Saburtalo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dinamo Tbilisi 0 22.0% 21.4% 10.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.9% 11.6% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 44.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1