Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 15:00 • David Petriashvili Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.41) 1.00 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.9% 23.2% 20.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Telavi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gagra 0 6.1% 6.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.0% 11.0% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.9% 5.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGagraTelavi
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack78%33%
Defense56%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gagra Telavi
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins24%47%35%18%24%21%
Draws29%12%21%35%18%26%
Loses47%41%44%47%59%53%

Form: Gagra: LDLLWLWWLLLDWDDDWLLLWWWWDLLLLWDLWW • Telavi: LWWDLWLLLDLLLLDLLLWDDDLDWWLLWDLLDL

League goals

Metric Gagra Telavi
HATHAT
GF total202242161531
GF avg1.21.31.20.90.90.9
GA total242751223658
GA avg1.41.61.51.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGagraTelavi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%76%56%76%
1.529%44%21%50%
2.512%18%12%24%
3.59%9%3%6%
4.50%3%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGagraTelavi
HATHAT
Clean sheets358628
Failed to score6396915

Penalties

MetricGagraTelavi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricGagraTelavi
Wins42
Draws33
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-44-01-3
Biggest losses0-45-01-37-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against4537

Model comparison

MetricGagraTelavi
Form83%17%
Att70%30%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total70.2%29.8%

Advice: Double chance : Gagra or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ 188Bet
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gagra = 1.79 (league 1.41), Telavi = 1.00 (league 1.26)

Telavi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gagra 0 6.1% 6.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.0% 11.0% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.9% 5.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.9% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 20.9%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1