Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 09:30 • Central stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.35) 1.95 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 20.2% 67.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 3
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Saburtalo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gareji 0 7.7% 14.9% 14.5% 9.4% 4.6% 1.8%
1 4.8% 9.3% 9.0% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGarejiSaburtalo
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack50%50%
Defense19%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gareji Saburtalo
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins18%24%21%65%65%65%
Draws41%35%38%24%24%24%
Loses41%41%41%12%12%12%

Form: Gareji: DLWLLLLLDLDWWLDDDWLLDDDDDDLWWLWLDL • Saburtalo: WWWDDWWWWDWWWWDWDWLDWDWLLDWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Gareji Saburtalo
HATHAT
GF total211940262854
GF avg1.21.11.21.51.61.6
GA total262248111223
GA avg1.51.31.40.60.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGarejiSaburtalo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%82%85%44%
1.529%38%47%18%
2.515%15%15%6%
3.56%6%6%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGarejiSaburtalo
HATHAT
Clean sheets24691019
Failed to score6511325

Penalties

MetricGarejiSaburtalo
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricGarejiSaburtalo
Wins24
Draws62
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-00-6
Biggest losses1-44-10-23-1
Goals For4446
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricGarejiSaburtalo
Form21%79%
Att50%50%
Def7%93%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h15%85%
Goals35%65%
Total25.2%74.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Saburtalo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away1.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gareji = 0.62 (league 1.35), Saburtalo = 1.95 (league 1.23)

Saburtalo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gareji 0 7.7% 14.9% 14.5% 9.4% 4.6% 1.8%
1 4.8% 9.3% 9.0% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 67.4%

vtt 5 , vtd1