Erovnuli Liga
— Georgia
Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 13:00 •
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.37)
0.64 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.3% | 22.7% | 13.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gagra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Saburtalo | 0 | 9.1% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Saburtalo | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 47% |
| Attack | 56% | 61% |
| Defense | 100% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Saburtalo | Gagra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 65% | 67% | 66% | 22% | 47% | 34% |
| Draws | 24% | 22% | 23% | 28% | 12% | 20% |
| Loses | 12% | 11% | 11% | 50% | 41% | 46% |
SaburtaloWWWDDWWWWDWWWWDWDWLDWDWLLDWWLWWWWWW
GagraLDLLWLWWLLLDWDDDWLLLWWWWDLLLLWDLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Saburtalo | Gagra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 32 | 58 | 21 | 22 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 53 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Saburtalo | Gagra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 43% | 74% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 49% | 17% | 29% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 6% | 11% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Saburtalo | Gagra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 11 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Saburtalo | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Saburtalo | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-6 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Saburtalo | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 70.4% | 29.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.22 @ 10Bet
Draw6.00 @ Betfair
Away14.00 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
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