Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Saguramos Sapekhburto Kompleksi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.28) 1.49 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 19.2% 22.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 1
7.3%
3 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Saburtalo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.9% 7.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.9% 8.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.7% 7.0% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotivi TbilisiSaburtalo II
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack47%63%
Defense58%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotivi Tbilisi Saburtalo II
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins33%25%29%42%25%33%
Draws50%33%42%42%17%29%
Loses17%42%29%17%58%38%

Form: Lokomotivi Tbilisi: DDLDDLWDWLLWWLDDLWDDDLWW • Saburtalo II: DWLLDDLLLWWWWDLDLDLWLDWW

League goals

Metric Lokomotivi Tbilisi Saburtalo II
HATHAT
GF total201434161531
GF avg1.71.21.41.31.31.3
GA total16163282230
GA avg1.31.31.30.71.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotivi TbilisiSaburtalo II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%83%63%79%
1.529%42%38%25%
2.517%8%17%13%
3.513%0%13%8%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotivi TbilisiSaburtalo II
HATHAT
Clean sheets134415
Failed to score235459

Penalties

MetricLokomotivi TbilisiSaburtalo II
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricLokomotivi TbilisiSaburtalo II
Wins24
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-23-54-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-10-14-0
Goals For4544
Goals Against2314

Model comparison

MetricLokomotivi TbilisiSaburtalo II
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h80%20%
Goals63%38%
Total55.3%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Lokomotivi Tbilisi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ Superbet
Draw3.70 @ Marathonbet
Away4.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Marathonbet
No1.90 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotivi Tbilisi = 2.39 (league 1.28), Saburtalo II = 1.49 (league 1.14)

Saburtalo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.9% 7.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.9% 8.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.7% 7.0% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 22.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1